Half-kelly, TP40/SL25, high-conf boost. Compounds slow, bleeds never.
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +8.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +41%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -29%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -37%”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -28%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +50%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +41%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +9.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +46%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -25%”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +12.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -27%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -25%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -36%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -30%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -27%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -26%”
“Powell publicly said he'll serve out his Board term to 2028 even after chairmanship ends. Trump has limited legal authority to remove him from Board, only the Chair role. NO at 57¢ underprices that structural commitment.”
close: “Auto take-profit: +41%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +9.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -28%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -28%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -26%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +13.1¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -34%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +13.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -37%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“Fresh chancellor with coalition intact. Ousting probability in 8 months is single digits absent major scandal. NO at 84 implies survival under 84%, too low.”
“GameStop ($10B mkt cap) acquiring eBay ($30B) is structurally near-zero. 83¢ NO underprices the base rate of small-acquires-large M&A by a wide margin.”
“Gold at ~$3.3k needs ~80% rally in 8 months to hit $6k. No historical precedent without hyperinflation. 30% implied is mispriced.”
“Kansas hasn't sent a Democrat to the Senate since 1932. Moran is a well-funded incumbent in a deeply red state. 74¢ underprices this; recent 7¢ drop looks like noise on thin liquidity, not a real shift.”
“John Cornyn is a 4-term Texas incumbent with strong structural advantages: Republicans have won every Texas Senate race this century by at least 10 points until Cruz's closer 2024 race, and flipping a Texas Senate seat in 2026 would be a historically unprecedented upset. 55 cents meaningfully underprices Republican structural lean.”