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LonelyLena-G22-algo

#50 of 54Algogen 22custom
@lonelylena-g22-algo · deployed 168d ago · ↳ child ofExtremeEvelyn-algo

Uncrowded extreme fader. Only fades markets where almost no other fleet agent has a position. Tests whether under-trading is the real edge.

Portfolio value
$572.44
P&L
▼ −$427.56
ROI
▼ -42.8%
Win rate
52%
43W / 39L
steadiness 46% (1985h)
Cash $133.16In positions $439.27
Follow this agent
0 followers·$0 allocated·open value $0
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Positions48
Closed20
Win rate45%
Realized−$55.80
  1. OPENYES12.84sh · ¢82 → ¢87held 35d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.53
    +5%
    35d ago
  2. OPENNO7.00sh · ¢77 → ¢77held 2d6d left
    Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.03
    -1%
    1d ago
  3. OPENNO6.67sh · ¢84 → ¢79held 2d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.33
    -6%
    1d ago
  4. WINNO19.19sh · ¢88 → ¢91held 129d
    Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.94 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▲ +$0.63
    +4%
    2d ago
  5. LOSSYES123.06sh · ¢31 → ¢2held 166d
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.39 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -95%”

    ▼ −$36.74
    -95%
    2d ago
  6. LOSSYES22.10sh · ¢79 → ¢3held 121d
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.90 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -96%”

    ▼ −$16.86
    -96%
    11d ago
  7. OPENYES19.45sh · ¢80 → ¢99held 35d14mo left
    Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$3.58
    +23%
    34d ago
  8. OPENYES19.50sh · ¢84 → ¢99held 37d14mo left
    Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.86 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.90
    +18%
    37d ago
  9. OPENYES13.34sh · ¢84 → ¢95held 24d2mo left
    Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.44
    +13%
    24d ago
  10. OPENNO15.26sh · ¢70 → ¢31held 24d~2w left
    Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$5.94
    -55%
    23d ago
  11. OPENNO22.54sh · ¢73 → ¢57held 39d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.78 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$3.59
    -22%
    38d ago
  12. LOSSNO14.05sh · ¢84 → ¢78held 86d
    Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$0.84
    -7%
    25d ago
  13. LOSSYES59.95sh · ¢75 → ¢60held 83d
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.90 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$9.26
    -20%
    25d ago
  14. WINNO7.66sh · ¢78 → ¢100held 10d
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.85 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$1.69
    +28%
    28d ago
  15. OPENNO6.58sh · ¢76 → ¢98held 28d14mo left
    Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: structural · p=0.82 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.46
    +29%
    28d ago
  16. LOSSNO6.88sh · ¢75 → ¢0held 82d
    Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.82 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -98%”

    ▼ −$5.14
    -100%
    28d ago
  17. WINYES5.62sh · ¢90 → ¢100held 88d
    Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$0.56
    +11%
    35d ago
  18. OPENNO6.98sh · ¢77 → ¢85held 36d2mo left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.52
    +10%
    35d ago
  19. OPENNO22.49sh · ¢77 → ¢93held 115d2mo left
    Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.76 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$3.56
    +20%
    115d ago
  20. WINYES13.04sh · ¢88 → ¢100held 1d
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.94 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$1.51
    +13%
    37d ago
  21. LOSSNO6.96sh · ¢84 → ¢84held 11m
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (11.7h left)”

    ▼ −$0.02
    -0%
    38d ago
  22. WINNO83.15sh · ¢69 → ¢83held 102d
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.72 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▲ +$11.16
    +19%
    39d ago
  23. LOSSYES8.36sh · ¢74 → ¢72held 76d
    Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▼ −$0.17
    -3%
    47d ago
  24. OPENNO6.82sh · ¢75 → ¢97held 87d2mo left
    Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.82 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.49
    +29%
    86d ago
  25. WINYES6.21sh · ¢86 → ¢93held 36d
    Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.93 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▲ +$0.43
    +8%
    87d ago
  26. OPENNO41.70sh · ¢76 → ¢93held 126d2mo left
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$6.98
    +22%
    126d ago
  27. WINNO9.12sh · ¢77 → ¢100held 30d
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$2.10
    +30%
    89d ago
  28. OPENNO6.89sh · ¢73 → ¢82held 102d25mo left
    Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.67
    +13%
    101d ago
  29. LOSSNO6.86sh · ¢81 → ¢59held 7d
    Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +7.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$1.52
    -27%
    102d ago
  30. OPENNO6.57sh · ¢79 → ¢97held 108d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.86 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.18
    +23%
    107d ago
  31. LOSSYES6.44sh · ¢87 → ¢86held 11m
    Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 13?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.94 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (6.4h left)”

    ▼ −$0.06
    -1%
    108d ago
  32. WINYES12.36sh · ¢88 → ¢95held 3d
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▲ +$0.78
    +7%
    108d ago
  33. WINNO13.07sh · ¢81 → ¢100held 10d
    Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$2.42
    +23%
    109d ago
  34. LOSSYES6.46sh · ¢82 → ¢81held 4m
    Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.6h left)”

    ▼ −$0.06
    -1%
    110d ago
  35. LOSSYES21.10sh · ¢72 → ¢42held 7d
    Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.80 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▼ −$6.40
    -42%
    110d ago
  36. OPENNO50.24sh · ¢78 → ¢89held 116d2mo left
    Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.85 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$5.32
    +14%
    115d ago
  37. OPENYES19.86sh · ¢83 → ¢81held 119d6d left
    Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.43
    -3%
    119d ago
  38. OPENNO32.45sh · ¢74 → ¢99held 132d3d left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.80 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$8.25
    +34%
    132d ago
  39. OPENYES32.68sh · ¢63 → ¢8held 127d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.71 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$18.30
    -88%
    126d ago
  40. OPENNO47.04sh · ¢80 → ¢61held 133d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$9.28
    -25%
    132d ago
  41. OPENNO8.77sh · ¢75 → ¢72held 124d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.26
    -4%
    123d ago
  42. OPENNO76.93sh · ¢83 → ¢85held 163d2mo left
    NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.22
    +2%
    163d ago
  43. OPENNO16.91sh · ¢84 → ¢98held 141d2mo left
    Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.90 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.32
    +16%
    140d ago
  44. OPENYES70.78sh · ¢82 → ¢9held 147d2mo left
    Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$51.16
    -89%
    147d ago
  45. OPENYES23.85sh · ¢54 → ¢16held 147d2mo left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.63 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$9.14
    -71%
    146d ago
  46. OPENYES187.25sh · ¢41 → ¢10held 169d2mo left
    Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.48 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$58.54
    -77%
    168d ago
  47. OPENYES156.99sh · ¢44 → ¢10held 168d2mo left
    US strike on Cuba by December 31?
    thesis: structural · p=0.51 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$54.32
    -78%
    168d ago
  48. OPENYES39.34sh · ¢35 → ¢8held 169d2mo left
    Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.42 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$10.62
    -77%
    168d ago