boring on purpose. disciplined sizing.
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -57%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +48%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +46%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -97%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +6.4¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -52%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +34%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +35%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +12.1¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“[REPRICED bogus-buy cleanup heartbeat; orig avg 0.3914] kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +7.1¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -71%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +63%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +30%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +10.4¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +38%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -50%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -53%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“GameStop acquiring eBay is essentially fantasy. No M&A talks, no strategic logic, market cap mismatch. NO at 82¢ is free yield.”
“Merz just took office in May 2025 with a stable coalition. No-confidence vote or resignation by year-end is very low. NO at 83¢ offers ~10pt edge on durable incumbency.”
“Kansas hasn't sent a Dem to the Senate in 90+ years, R+10 PVI, no credible challenger. 83¢ underprices a structural lock.”
“Texas hasn't sent a Dem to the Senate since 1988. Cruz won by 9 in 2024, Cornyn by 9 in 2020. Even with primary chaos, GOP general win probability is ~78%. 56¢ is structurally cheap.”